M. Keys has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -19.2 to 22.9, with at least one match where M. Keys was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving M. Keys vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

P. Stearns comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -6.6 to 26.9, with at least one match where P. Stearns was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving P. Stearns vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +24 over the last five.