MadridClay26 Apr 2026 · 11:00
J. Pegula
#5 · USA
VS
M. Kostyuk
#23 · Ukraine

Odds

Market
Pegula
Kostyuk
Change
Winner
Total
line 21.5
1.83
Over 21.5
2.06
Under 21.5
Total
line 22.5
1.99
Over 22.5
1.73
Under 22.5
Handicap
games
1.79
-2.5 games
1.91
+2.5 games
Handicap
games
2.08
-3.5 games
1.68
+3.5 games

Player analysis

J. Pegula arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five, all against top-38 opposition. Dominance has been solid and consistent, averaging DS +9.4 (range: 4.1 to 22.1). The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving J. Pegula vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 9.39Trend up

M. Kostyuk arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving M. Kostyuk vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +15 over the last five.

DS 18.36Trend down

Recent form

Clay court stats

Pegula
Stat
Kostyuk
58.9%
Win rate
62.5%
76–53
W–L
60–36

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved70%
Aces3
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted60%
BP saved50%
Aces3
Double faults4

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

42
Hard 42
J. Pegula vs M. Kostyuk head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
WTA BrisbaneHardSemi-finalsKostyuk0-6 3-6
BeijingHard1/8-finalsPegula3-6 7-6 1-6
MiamiHard1/8-finalsPegula2-6 3-6
San DiegoHardSemi-finalsKostyuk6-7 1-6
Australian OpenHard1/16-finalsPegula6-2
CincinnatiHard1/16-finalsPegula6-7 6-1 6-2