Odds
Player analysis
P. Kypson comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.8. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. Serve quality has been average (6.7/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — P. Kypson has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -22 over recent matches.
S. Kozlov has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -8.4 to 19.3, with at least one match where S. Kozlov was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving S. Kozlov vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — S. Kozlov has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -14 over recent matches.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 23 Apr | Tsitsipas | 6-3 6-7 6-7 | L |
| 21 Apr | Basilashvili | 7-6 6-7 4-6 | L |
| 20 Apr | Kouame | 6-2 6-2 | W |
| 12 Apr | Ofner | 6-4 6-4 | L |
| 11 Apr | Gea | 1-6 4-6 | W |
3W 2L last 5
| 22 Apr | Hardt | 2-6 6-2 0-6 | L |
| 20 Apr | Glinka | 2-6 3-6 | W |
| 14 Apr | Rybakov | 6-7 2-6 | L |
| 13 Apr | Feldbausch | 6-1 4-6 7-6 | W |
| 12 Apr | Kirchheimer | 6-0 6-4 | W |

