Odds
Player analysis
A. Li has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -14.0 to 10.6, with at least one match where A. Li was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving A. Li vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +14 over the last five.
M. Linette comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -8.7, meaning M. Linette has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving M. Linette vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Linette has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -23 over recent matches.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 23 Apr | Parks | 2-6 7-6 3-6 | W |
| 17 Apr | Kostyuk | 6-0 6-7 6-3 | L |
| 15 Apr | Rakhimova | 6-4 2-6 3-6 | W |
| 13 Apr | Kasatkina | 7-6 2-6 4-6 | W |
| 7 Apr | Yastremska | 7-5 4-6 6-3 | L |
2W 3L last 5
| 23 Apr | Jovic | 4-6 1-6 | L |
| 21 Apr | Montgomery | 4-6 3-6 | W |
| 10 Apr | Kostyuk | 4-6 0-6 | L |
| 21 Mar | Eala | 6-3 7-6 | L |
| 19 Mar | Swiatek | 1-6 7-5 6-3 | W |

