MadridClay1/16-finals25 Apr 2026 · 11:00
I. Swiatek
#4 · Poland
VS
A. Li
#34 · USA
SWIATEK
1.05
·
LI
13.3

Odds

Market
Swiatek
Li
Change
Winner
1.05
13.3
Total
line 14.0
1
Over 14.0
9.3
Under 14.0
Total
line 14.5
1.08
Over 14.5
5.45
Under 14.5
Handicap
games
11.7
-10.5 games
1.01
+10.5 games
Handicap
games
11
-10.0 games
1.01
+10 games

Player analysis

I. Swiatek comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -6.8 to 25.8, with at least one match where I. Swiatek was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving I. Swiatek vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +14 over the last five.

DS 8.47Trend down

A. Li has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -14.0 to 10.6, with at least one match where A. Li was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving A. Li vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +14 over the last five.

DS 1.14Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Swiatek
Stat
Li
86.2%
Win rate
62.5%
131–21
W–L
55–33

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved60%
Aces2
Double faults5
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted60%
BP saved50%
Aces7
Double faults4