MiamiHard16 Mar 2026 · 22:05
Y. Watanuki
#234 · Japan
VS
F. Maestrelli
#113 · Italy
WATANUKI
2.16
·
MAESTRELLI
1.72

Odds

Market
Watanuki
Maestrelli
Change
Winner
2.16
1.72
Total
line 20.0
1.26
Over 20.0
3.2
Under 20.0
Total
line 20.5
1.36
Over 20.5
2.7
Under 20.5
Handicap
games
1.48
-3.0 games
2.43
+3 games
Handicap
games
1.62
-2.5 games
2.13
+2.5 games

Player analysis

Y. Watanuki has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -2.6 to 16.7, with at least one match where Y. Watanuki was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving Y. Watanuki vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 8.42Trend down

F. Maestrelli comes into this match in difficult form — 0 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -14.6, meaning F. Maestrelli has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.1/10, leaving F. Maestrelli vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -14.6Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Watanuki
Stat
Maestrelli
59.6%
Win rate
52.8%
180–122
W–L
65–58

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %50%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved40%
Aces7
Double faults4
1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won30%
BP converted40%
BP saved50%
Aces3
Double faults5

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

10
Indoor 10
Y. Watanuki vs F. Maestrelli head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
Forli 4IndoorFinalWatanuki6-3 2-6 6-4