WTA AdelaideHard1/16-finals12 Jan 2026 · 01:40
V. Mboko
#9 · Canada
VS
B. Haddad Maia
#69 · Brazil
MBOKO
1.27
·
MAIA
4.17

Odds

Market
Mboko
Maia
Winner
1.27
4.17

Player analysis

V. Mboko has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.4. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving V. Mboko vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+48) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.

DS 6.36Trend down

B. Haddad Maia comes into this match in difficult form — 0 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -12.2, meaning B. Haddad Maia has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 4.8/10, leaving B. Haddad Maia vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — B. Haddad Maia has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -19 over recent matches.

DS -12.21Trend mixed

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLWWWL

3W 2L last 5

12 MarSabalenka7-6 6-4L
11 MarAnisimova6-4 6-1W
9 MarKalinskaya6-4 6-1W
6 MarBirrell6-4 7-6W
14 FebMuchova6-4 7-5L
Recent form bar chartLLLLL

0W 5L last 5

9 MarFruhvirtova6-3 6-7 6-4L
4 MarManeiro6-1 6-7 6-1L
24 FebBoulter6-4 6-4L
9 FebTjen6-0 6-1L
7 FebZakharova4-6 4-6L

Hard court stats

Mboko
Stat
Maia
73.4%
Win rate
60.9%
80–29
W–L
184–118

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted70%
BP saved80%
Aces6
Double faults4
1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won30%
BP converted30%
BP saved50%
Aces2
Double faults7