Odds
Player analysis
V. Mboko has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.4. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving V. Mboko vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+48) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.
B. Haddad Maia comes into this match in difficult form — 0 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -12.2, meaning B. Haddad Maia has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 4.8/10, leaving B. Haddad Maia vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — B. Haddad Maia has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -19 over recent matches.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 12 Mar | Sabalenka | 7-6 6-4 | L |
| 11 Mar | Anisimova | 6-4 6-1 | W |
| 9 Mar | Kalinskaya | 6-4 6-1 | W |
| 6 Mar | Birrell | 6-4 7-6 | W |
| 14 Feb | Muchova | 6-4 7-5 | L |
0W 5L last 5
| 9 Mar | Fruhvirtova | 6-3 6-7 6-4 | L |
| 4 Mar | Maneiro | 6-1 6-7 6-1 | L |
| 24 Feb | Boulter | 6-4 6-4 | L |
| 9 Feb | Tjen | 6-0 6-1 | L |
| 7 Feb | Zakharova | 4-6 4-6 | L |

