Oeiras 6ClaySemi-finals11 May 2026 · 12:10
A. Martin
#277 · USA
VS
J. Watt
#693 · New Zealand
MARTIN
1.35
·
WATT
3.32

Odds

Market
Martin
Watt
Winner
1.35
3.32
Total
line 20.0
1.74
Over 20.0
1.95
Under 20.0
Total
line 20.5
1.85
Over 20.5
1.84
Under 20.5
Handicap
games
2.73
-5.0 games
1.46
+5 games
Handicap
games
1.87
-4.5 games
1.82
+4.5 games

Player analysis

A. Martin comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -10.6 to 12.7, with at least one match where A. Martin was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving A. Martin vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Martin has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -12 over recent matches.

DS 0.66Trend up

J. Watt comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -10.3, meaning J. Watt has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving J. Watt vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Watt has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -35 over recent matches.

DS -10.3Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Martin
Stat
Watt
57.6%
Win rate
57.1%
269–198
W–L
4–3

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted30%
BP saved60%
Aces3
Double faults2
1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted20%
BP saved50%
Aces2
Double faults4