Australian OpenHard1/64-finals19 Jan 2026 · 03:50
M. McDonald
#126 · USA
VS
A. De Minaur
#6 · Australia
MCDONALD
14.49
·
MINAUR
1.05

Odds

Market
McDonald
Minaur
Winner
14.49
1.05

Player analysis

M. McDonald comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -11.8, meaning M. McDonald has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving M. McDonald vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. McDonald has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -18 over recent matches.

DS -11.83Trend mixed

A. De Minaur comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.8, meaning A. De Minaur has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving A. De Minaur vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. De Minaur has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -13 over recent matches.

DS -5.77Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

McDonald
Stat
Minaur
56.8%
Win rate
64.7%
260–198
W–L
255–139

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted20%
BP saved60%
Aces1
Double faults2
1st serve %50%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved60%
Aces3
Double faults3