Cap CanaHard1/16-finals11 Mar 2026 · 15:00
M. McDonald
#126 · USA
VS
L. Nardi
#140 · Italy

Odds

Market
McDonald
Nardi
Change
Winner

Player analysis

M. McDonald comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -11.8, meaning M. McDonald has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving M. McDonald vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. McDonald has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -18 over recent matches.

DS -11.83Trend mixed

L. Nardi comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.7, meaning L. Nardi has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving L. Nardi vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -2.69Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

McDonald
Stat
Nardi
56.8%
Win rate
55.8%
260–198
W–L
115–91

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted20%
BP saved60%
Aces1
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved60%
Aces8
Double faults4