A. De Minaur has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.3, meaning A. De Minaur has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving A. De Minaur vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +20 over the last five.

H. Medjedovic shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 84. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -5.2 to 10.2, with at least one match where H. Medjedovic was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving H. Medjedovic vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.