US OpenHard1/32-finals29 Aug 2025 · 02:40
S. Mochizuki
#130 · Japan
VS
A. De Minaur
#6 · Australia

Odds

Market
Mochizuki
Minaur
Winner

Player analysis

S. Mochizuki comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.6, meaning S. Mochizuki has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving S. Mochizuki vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -0.55Trend mixed

A. De Minaur comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.8, meaning A. De Minaur has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving A. De Minaur vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. De Minaur has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -13 over recent matches.

DS -5.77Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Mochizuki
Stat
Minaur
52%
Win rate
64.7%
129–119
W–L
255–139

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %50%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted60%
BP saved50%
Aces3
Double faults7
1st serve %50%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved60%
Aces3
Double faults3