MatsuyamaHardFinal3 Nov 2025 · 03:10
Y. Mochizuki
#556 · Japan
VS
J. Watt
#663 · New Zealand

Odds

Market
Mochizuki
Watt
Winner

Player analysis

Y. Mochizuki has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.9, meaning Y. Mochizuki has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving Y. Mochizuki vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — Y. Mochizuki has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -28 over recent matches.

DS -5.91Trend mixed

J. Watt has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.7. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.5/10, leaving J. Watt vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Watt has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -26 over recent matches.

DS 5.69Trend up

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLWWLW

3W 2L last 5

10 FebSakamoto6-0 6-1L
9 FebHulme5-7 7-5 7-5W
8 FebWalkin3-6 7-5 6-1W
2 FebHazawa1-6 4-6L
1 FebCook6-2 6-3W
Recent form bar chartWLLWW

3W 2L last 5

8 FebNedic6-3 7-6W
7 FebBasic2-6 6-7L
12 JanBrooksby6-4 6-3L
6 JanVithoontien6-7 1-6W
5 JanNakagawa6-3 6-4W

Hard court stats

Mochizuki
Stat
Watt
54.5%
Win rate
43.5%
103–86
W–L
30–39

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved40%
Aces2
Double faults3
1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved50%
Aces7
Double faults2