SarasotaClay1/8-finals9 Apr 2026 · 23:30
Y. Wu
#115 · China
VS
K. Nishikori
#491 · Japan

Odds

Market
Wu
Nishikori
Winner
Total
line 21.5
1.78
Over 21.5
1.91
Under 21.5
Total
line 22.5
2.01
Over 22.5
1.68
Under 22.5
Handicap
games
1.74
-2.0 games
1.96
+2 games
Handicap
games
2.08
-3.5 games
1.65
+3.5 games

Player analysis

Y. Wu has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -11.1 to 23.6, with at least one match where Y. Wu was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving Y. Wu vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — Y. Wu has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -36 over recent matches.

DS 3.42Trend mixed

K. Nishikori comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -9.6 to 15.0, with at least one match where K. Nishikori was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving K. Nishikori vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 0.61Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Wu
Stat
Nishikori
56.4%
Win rate
69.3%
22–17
W–L
124–55

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved30%
Aces4
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted50%
BP saved50%
Aces3
Double faults3