MadridClay1/16-finals7 Apr 2026 · 13:30
D. Rincon
#277 · Spain
VS
T. Samuel
#169 · United Kingdom
RINCON
2.09
·
SAMUEL
1.8

Odds

Market
Rincon
Samuel
Change
Winner
2.09
1.8
Total
line 21.5
1.83
Over 21.5
1.86
Under 21.5
Total
line 20.5
1.78
Over 20.5
1.91
Under 20.5
Handicap
games
1.45
+5.5 games
2.65
-5.5 games
Handicap
games
1.35
+4.5 games
2.88
-4.5 games

Player analysis

Rincon enters as the lower-ranked player at 277 but holds home advantage on clay in Madrid. He's won three of his last five matches, though he lost to Martinez in straight sets most recently.

DS 2.58Trend mixed

Samuel brings a higher ranking (169) and stronger recent form with four wins in his last five outings. He's won both head-to-head meetings against Rincon, though their overall record stands at 2-1 in Samuel's favor.

DS 6.83Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Rincon
Stat
Samuel
56.7%
Win rate
75%
106–81
W–L
3–1

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted60%
BP saved50%
Aces3
Double faults3
1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted50%
BP saved50%
Aces1
Double faults2

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

03
Hard 03
D. Rincon vs T. Samuel head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
Hersonissos 2Hard1/8-finalsSamuel3-6 0-6
HersonissosHard1/8-finalsSamuel7-6 6-4
Tenerife 2Hard1/16-finalsSamuel5-7 0-6