RomeClay1/32-finals8 May 2026 · 11:00
M. Sakkari
#47 · Greece
VS
E. Rybakina
#2 · Kazakhstan
SAKKARI
5.6
·
RYBAKINA
1.14

Odds

Market
Sakkari
Rybakina
Change
Winner
5.6
1.14
Total
line 16.0
1.15
Over 16.0
4.33
Under 16.0
Total
line 17.0
1.36
Over 17.0
2.83
Under 17.0
Handicap
games
4.4
-3.0 games
1.18
+3 games
Handicap
games
3.48
-4.0 games
1.27
+4 games

Player analysis

M. Sakkari comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -7.6, meaning M. Sakkari has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving M. Sakkari vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -7.63Trend mixed

E. Rybakina shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 31. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +7.7. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving E. Rybakina vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — E. Rybakina has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -17 over recent matches.

DS 7.68Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Sakkari
Stat
Rybakina
59.9%
Win rate
69.4%
100–67
W–L
75–33

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted60%
BP saved50%
Aces1
Double faults1
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted50%
BP saved40%
Aces5
Double faults2

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

14
Grass 01
Hard 12
Indoor 01
M. Sakkari vs E. Rybakina head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
WimbledonGrass1/32-finalsRybakina3-6 1-6
United CupHardRybakina4-6 3-6
WTA MiamiHardQuarter-finalsRybakina5-7 7-6 4-6
WTA Finals - CancunIndoorRybakina6-7 7-6
Indian WellsHardQuarter-finalsSakkari7-5 6-4