Y. Shimizu has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -23.5 to 61.9, with at least one match where Y. Shimizu was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving Y. Shimizu vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — Y. Shimizu has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -20 over recent matches.

R. Tokuda comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -12.2 to 19.3, with at least one match where R. Tokuda was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving R. Tokuda vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.