S. Sierra shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 96. Dominance has been solid and consistent, averaging DS +11.0 (range: -9.7 to 23.5). The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving S. Sierra vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +21 over the last five.

D. Yastremska comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +3.2 with a downward trend. D. Yastremska is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving D. Yastremska vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.