T. Skatov has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -8.3 to 10.4, with at least one match where T. Skatov was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving T. Skatov vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — T. Skatov has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -15 over recent matches.

S. Travaglia comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +1.0 with a downward trend. S. Travaglia is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving S. Travaglia vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — S. Travaglia has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -16 over recent matches.