S. Stephens comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.8, meaning S. Stephens has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving S. Stephens vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +13 over the last five.

R. Zarazua has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -37.0 to 42.1, with at least one match where R. Zarazua was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving R. Zarazua vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — R. Zarazua has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -22 over recent matches.