Odds
Player analysis
A. Tabilo has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -13.0 to 12.5, with at least one match where A. Tabilo was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving A. Tabilo vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +20 over the last five.
D. Vallejo comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +7.0. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving D. Vallejo vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — D. Vallejo has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -26 over recent matches.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 5 Apr | Fucsovics | 4-6 3-6 | W |
| 23 Mar | Michelsen | 6-3 3-6 4-6 | L |
| 21 Mar | Rublev | 7-6 2-6 4-6 | W |
| 19 Mar | Comesana | 6-4 6-2 | W |
| 8 Mar | Medvedev | 6-4 6-2 | L |
2W 3L last 5
| 2 Apr | Paul | 6-3 4-6 4-6 | L |
| 30 Mar | Svajda | 6-1 6-4 | W |
| 20 Mar | Roncadelli | 3-6 4-6 | L |
| 19 Mar | Zarate | 6-2 6-2 | W |
| 13 Mar | Monteiro | 6-3 3-6 4-6 | L |

