Odds
Player analysis
E. Alexandrova comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.8, meaning E. Alexandrova has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving E. Alexandrova vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — E. Alexandrova has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -31 over recent matches.
C. Werner has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -2.7 to 37.2, with at least one match where C. Werner was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving C. Werner vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +15 over the last five.
Recent form
1W 4L last 5
| 9 Apr | Pliskova | 6-1 6-3 | L |
| 22 Mar | Cristian | 3-6 6-4 6-7 | L |
| 20 Mar | Tagger | 6-3 6-3 | W |
| 6 Mar | Gibson | 3-6 5-7 | L |
| 17 Feb | Linette | 2-6 6-4 1-6 | L |
3W 2L last 5
| 7 Apr | Bartunkova | 6-7 4-6 | L |
| 6 Apr | Tona | 6-3 6-1 | W |
| 5 Apr | Kobori | 6-1 7-6 | W |
| 29 Mar | Arias | 0-6 1-6 | W |
| 29 Mar | Escorihuela | 7-6 2-6 6-4 | L |

