Odds
Player analysis
D. Altmaier has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -8.5 to 22.6, with at least one match where D. Altmaier was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving D. Altmaier vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — D. Altmaier has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -26 over recent matches.
D. Shapovalov comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -7.8, meaning D. Shapovalov has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving D. Shapovalov vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — D. Shapovalov has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -18 over recent matches.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 3 Apr | Marozsan | 2-6 6-7 | L |
| 3 Apr | Prizmic | 3-6 7-6 7-6 | W |
| 31 Mar | Martinez | 6-1 6-4 | W |
| 29 Mar | Medjedovic | 2-6 4-6 | L |
| 28 Mar | Bondioli | 6-2 2-6 6-1 | W |
2W 3L last 5
| 19 Mar | Zandschulp | 5-7 3-6 | L |
| 8 Mar | Sinner | 3-6 2-6 | L |
| 7 Mar | Etcheverry | 3-6 6-2 6-7 | W |
| 5 Mar | Tsitsipas | 2-6 6-3 4-6 | W |
| 24 Feb | Carreno-Busta | 6-2 6-4 | L |

