TokyoHard1/16-finals24 Sep 2025 · 09:10
D. Altmaier
#49 · Germany
VS
D. Shapovalov
#38 · Canada
ALTMAIER
3.36
·
SHAPOVALOV
1.37

Odds

Market
Altmaier
Shapovalov
Winner
3.36
1.37
Total
line 18.5
1.2
Over 18.5
3.82
Under 18.5
Total
line 19.0
1.27
Over 19.0
3.28
Under 19.0
Handicap
games
2.54
-2.0 games
1.48
+2 games
Handicap
games
2.41
-2.5 games
1.61
+2.5 games

Player analysis

D. Altmaier has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -8.5 to 22.6, with at least one match where D. Altmaier was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving D. Altmaier vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — D. Altmaier has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -26 over recent matches.

DS 3.62Trend mixed

D. Shapovalov comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -7.8, meaning D. Shapovalov has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving D. Shapovalov vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — D. Shapovalov has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -18 over recent matches.

DS -7.81Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Altmaier
Stat
Shapovalov
51.2%
Win rate
59.8%
110–105
W–L
213–143

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved40%
Aces3
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted40%
BP saved40%
Aces6
Double faults5