M. Tobon shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 786. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -10.3 to 24.4, with at least one match where M. Tobon was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.5/10, leaving M. Tobon vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

P. Alvarado comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -13.6, meaning P. Alvarado has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving P. Alvarado vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — P. Alvarado has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -36 over recent matches.