E. Guerrero Alvarez has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.2. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving E. Guerrero Alvarez vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

A. Lahey comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 2. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -3.3 to 9.7, with at least one match where A. Lahey was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving A. Lahey vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Lahey has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -18 over recent matches.