R. Catry has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +7.3. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving R. Catry vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+36) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.

M. Alves comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -9.0, meaning M. Alves has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving M. Alves vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.