ConcepcionClaySemi-finals26 Jan 2026 · 18:40
M. Alves
#514 · Brazil
VS
M. Kestelboim
#487 · Argentina
ALVES
1.44
·
KESTELBOIM
2.62

Odds

Market
Alves
Kestelboim
Winner
1.44
2.62

Player analysis

M. Alves comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -12.6 to 29.3, with at least one match where M. Alves was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving M. Alves vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Alves has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -13 over recent matches.

DS 4.06Trend mixed

M. Kestelboim comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -14.4, meaning M. Kestelboim has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 4.8/10, leaving M. Kestelboim vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -14.42Trend down

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLLWWL

2W 3L last 5

26 JanKestelboim4-6 6-4 2-6L
20 JanBueno6-4 2-6 2-6L
19 JanRatti6-4 6-4W
18 JanLino6-1 6-2W
12 JanAlmeida6-7 5-7L
Recent form bar chartLLWLW

2W 3L last 5

17 FebTorres6-4 6-3L
27 JanMena6-4 6-4L
26 JanAlves4-6 6-4 2-6W
10 NovCollarini7-6 6-1L
9 NovIrigoin1-6 1-6W

Clay court stats

Alves
Stat
Kestelboim
56%
Win rate
57.1%
131–103
W–L
136–102

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved40%
Aces3
Double faults4
1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted50%
BP saved50%
Aces1
Double faults5