M. Andreeva shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 57. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.1. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving M. Andreeva vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +14 over the last five.

D. Kasatkina comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -12.0 to 14.8, with at least one match where D. Kasatkina was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.2/10, leaving D. Kasatkina vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.