WTA DohaHard1/16-finals10 Feb 2026 · 11:05
D. Kasatkina
#75 · Australia
VS
E. Mertens
#21 · Belgium
KASATKINA
3.89
·
MERTENS
1.3

Odds

Market
Kasatkina
Mertens
Winner
3.89
1.3
Total
line 16.5
1.16
Over 16.5
4.15
Under 16.5
Total
line 17.0
1.19
Over 17.0
3.8
Under 17.0
Handicap
games
2.94
-2.0 games
1.36
+2 games
Handicap
games
2.73
-2.5 games
1.41
+2.5 games

Player analysis

D. Kasatkina comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.6, meaning D. Kasatkina has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.2/10, leaving D. Kasatkina vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -0.57Trend mixed

E. Mertens comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.8. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving E. Mertens vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 5.76Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Kasatkina
Stat
Mertens
58%
Win rate
62%
211–153
W–L
253–155

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted50%
BP saved50%
Aces2
Double faults7
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved60%
Aces4
Double faults3

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

51
Hard 51
D. Kasatkina vs E. Mertens head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
WTA DohaHard1/16-finalsKasatkina6-4 6-0
WTA MontrealHard1/32-finalsKasatkina4-6 2-6
WTA WashingtonHard1/16-finalsKasatkina3-6 5-7
WTA MiamiHard1/32-finalsMertens4-6 6-2 6-2
SydneyHard1/8-finalsKasatkina6-3 6-4
San JoseHardSemi-finalsKasatkina3-6 2-6