WTA DohaHard1/16-finals10 Feb 2026 · 11:05
D. Kasatkina
#64 · Australia
VS
E. Mertens
#19 · Belgium
KASATKINA
3.89
·
MERTENS
1.3

Odds

Market
Kasatkina
Mertens
Winner
3.89
1.3
Total
line 16.5
1.16
Over 16.5
4.15
Under 16.5
Total
line 17.0
1.19
Over 17.0
3.8
Under 17.0
Handicap
games
2.94
-2.0 games
1.36
+2 games
Handicap
games
2.73
-2.5 games
1.41
+2.5 games

Player analysis

D. Kasatkina has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.2. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving D. Kasatkina vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +14 over the last five.

DS 6.17Trend down

E. Mertens has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -21.1 to 30.1, with at least one match where E. Mertens was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving E. Mertens vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +16 over the last five.

DS 11.37Trend mixed

Recent form

Recent form bar chartWLWWL

3W 2L last 5

16 FebSiegemund2-6 3-6W
11 FebSwiatek5-7 6-1 6-1L
10 FebMertens6-4 6-0W
8 FebUchijima4-6 6-3 6-0W
2 FebWaltert6-7 6-3 4-6L
Recent form bar chartLWLWW

3W 2L last 5

9 MarBencic2-6 3-6L
8 MarBucsa6-2 6-1W
18 FebGauff2-6 7-6 6-3L
17 FebNavarro6-2 6-2W
15 FebBouzkova2-6 2-6W

Hard court stats

Kasatkina
Stat
Mertens
58%
Win rate
62%
211–153
W–L
253–155

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted60%
BP saved60%
Aces1
Double faults6
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved70%
Aces4
Double faults4