Odds
Market
Arango
Kasatkina
Change
Winner
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Player analysis
E. Arango comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.7, meaning E. Arango has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving E. Arango vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
DS -1.67Trend mixed
D. Kasatkina comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -12.0 to 14.8, with at least one match where D. Kasatkina was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.2/10, leaving D. Kasatkina vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
DS 1.71Trend mixed
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 24 Apr | Noskova | 6-3 6-2 | L |
| 22 Apr | Gibson | 3-6 2-6 | W |
| 11 Apr | Rivera | 6-2 1-6 4-6 | L |
| 10 Apr | Magallanes | 6-1 6-0 | W |
| 9 Apr | Rodriguez | 6-4 6-4 | L |
2W 3L last 5
| 22 Apr | Snigur | 6-3 3-6 7-6 | L |
| 13 Apr | Li | 7-6 2-6 4-6 | L |
| 16 Feb | Siegemund | 2-6 3-6 | W |
| 11 Feb | Swiatek | 5-7 6-1 6-1 | L |
| 10 Feb | Mertens | 6-4 6-0 | W |
Clay court stats
ArangoStatKasatkina
51.1%Win rate63%
68–65W–L92–54
Avg stats — last 5
1st serve %80%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted30%
BP saved60%
Aces2
Double faults1
1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted50%
BP saved50%
Aces2
Double faults6

