F. Arnaboldi has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -35.7 to 20.4, with at least one match where F. Arnaboldi was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving F. Arnaboldi vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

T. Compagnucci comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.6, meaning T. Compagnucci has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving T. Compagnucci vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +14 over the last five.