ShanghaiHard1/32-finals4 Oct 2025 · 10:15
A. Davidovich Fokina
#17 · Spain
VS
M. Arnaldi
#107 · Italy
FOKINA
1.43
·
ARNALDI
3.01

Odds

Market
Fokina
Arnaldi
Winner
1.43
3.01
Total
line 18.5
1.18
Over 18.5
4.01
Under 18.5
Total
line 19.5
1.3
Over 19.5
3.04
Under 19.5
Handicap
games
6.2
-6.5 games
1.1
+6.5 games
Handicap
games
5.7
-6.0 games
1.12
+6 games

Player analysis

A. Davidovich Fokina comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.0, meaning A. Davidovich Fokina has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving A. Davidovich Fokina vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Davidovich Fokina has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -24 over recent matches.

DS -1.02Trend mixed

M. Arnaldi comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -8.5, meaning M. Arnaldi has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.3/10, leaving M. Arnaldi vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +14 over the last five.

DS -8.46Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Fokina
Stat
Arnaldi
56.2%
Win rate
51.3%
154–120
W–L
81–77

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted20%
BP saved50%
Aces5
Double faults2
1st serve %50%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted70%
BP saved40%
Aces2
Double faults4