Odds
Player analysis
J. De Jong comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.2, meaning J. De Jong has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving J. De Jong vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +16 over the last five.
M. Arnaldi comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -8.5, meaning M. Arnaldi has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.3/10, leaving M. Arnaldi vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +14 over the last five.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 11 Apr | Bonzi | 6-4 6-1 | W |
| 4 Apr | Garin | 7-5 1-6 6-1 | L |
| 30 Mar | Hanfmann | 6-7 4-6 | L |
| 25 Mar | Butvilas | 7-5 2-6 6-4 | L |
| 24 Mar | Pieri | 7-5 1-6 6-7 | W |
1W 4L last 5
| 11 Apr | Halys | 1-6 7-6 6-7 | L |
| 6 Apr | Garin | 6-2 6-4 | L |
| 5 Apr | Muller | 1-6 7-6 4-6 | L |
| 4 Apr | Kopriva | 6-2 3-6 2-6 | W |
| 31 Mar | Molcan | 6-3 6-1 | L |