M. Arseneault comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -6.5, meaning M. Arseneault has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving M. Arseneault vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

B. Jones has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -30.2 to 15.6, with at least one match where B. Jones was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving B. Jones vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — B. Jones has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -10 over recent matches.