F. Auger-Aliassime has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -7.0 to 9.7, with at least one match where F. Auger-Aliassime was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.7/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +11 over the last five.

M. Cilic comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.6, meaning M. Cilic has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving M. Cilic vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +15 over the last five.