Odds
Player analysis
F. Auger-Aliassime has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -7.0 to 9.7, with at least one match where F. Auger-Aliassime was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.7/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +11 over the last five.
J. De Jong comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.5, meaning J. De Jong has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving J. De Jong vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 23 Mar | Atmane | 3-6 6-1 3-6 | L |
| 21 Mar | Fucsovics | 7-6 7-5 | W |
| 10 Mar | Fils | 6-3 7-6 | L |
| 9 Mar | Diallo | 7-6 3-6 3-6 | W |
| 7 Mar | Monfils | 7-6 3-6 4-6 | W |
1W 4L last 5
| 4 Apr | Garin | 7-5 1-6 6-1 | L |
| 30 Mar | Hanfmann | 6-7 4-6 | L |
| 25 Mar | Butvilas | 7-5 2-6 6-4 | L |
| 24 Mar | Pieri | 7-5 1-6 6-7 | W |
| 21 Mar | Baena | 6-2 4-6 4-6 | L |