Odds
Player analysis
J. De Jong comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.5, meaning J. De Jong has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving J. De Jong vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
R. Carballes Baena comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.8, meaning R. Carballes Baena has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving R. Carballes Baena vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — R. Carballes Baena has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -23 over recent matches.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 20 Mar | Ruiz | 6-3 6-2 | W |
| 18 Mar | Houkes | 6-1 6-3 | W |
| 17 Mar | Hassan | 6-3 3-6 6-3 | W |
| 21 Feb | Choinski | 6-1 7-6 | L |
| 17 Feb | Rublev | 4-6 3-6 | L |
3W 2L last 5
| 20 Mar | Ofner | 6-7 6-2 1-6 | W |
| 18 Mar | Kukushkin | 1-6 6-3 2-6 | W |
| 17 Mar | Izquierdo | 3-6 6-7 | W |
| 10 Mar | Vasa | 4-6 6-3 6-7 | L |
| 3 Mar | Kopp | 3-6 2-6 | L |

