MurciaClaySemi-finals21 Mar 2026 · 11:10
J. De Jong
#108 · Netherlands
VS
R. Carballes Baena
#204 · Spain
JONG
1.56
·
BAENA
2.56

Odds

Market
Jong
Baena
Winner
1.56
2.56
Total
line 19.0
1.3
Over 19.0
2.97
Under 19.0
Total
line 19.5
1.41
Over 19.5
2.52
Under 19.5
Handicap
games
4.5
-6.0 games
1.16
+6 games
Handicap
games
3.24
-5.5 games
1.28
+5.5 games

Player analysis

J. De Jong comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.5, meaning J. De Jong has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving J. De Jong vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -2.48Trend mixed

R. Carballes Baena comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.8, meaning R. Carballes Baena has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving R. Carballes Baena vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — R. Carballes Baena has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -23 over recent matches.

DS -0.81Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Jong
Stat
Baena
62.9%
Win rate
61.3%
139–82
W–L
460–291

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved60%
Aces7
Double faults6
1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved40%
Aces3
Double faults3