J. Lehecka has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +1.9 with a downward trend. J. Lehecka is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. Serve quality has been average (6.7/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+38) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.

F. Auger-Aliassime comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -15.0 to 21.5, with at least one match where F. Auger-Aliassime was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.7/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — F. Auger-Aliassime has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -44 over recent matches.