S. Ofner has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -1.2 to 12.7, with at least one match where S. Ofner was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving S. Ofner vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +11 over the last five.

R. Carballes Baena comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.8, meaning R. Carballes Baena has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving R. Carballes Baena vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — R. Carballes Baena has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -23 over recent matches.