Kigali 2Clay1/16-finals10 Mar 2026 · 10:40
R. Carballes Baena
#204 · Spain
VS
E. Vasa
#440 · Finland
BAENA
1.18
·
VASA
5.39

Odds

Market
Baena
Vasa
Winner
1.18
5.39
Total
line 18.5
1.38
Over 18.5
2.72
Under 18.5
Total
line 19.5
1.68
Over 19.5
2.24
Under 19.5
Handicap
games
3.34
-6.5 games
1.27
+6.5 games
Handicap
games
2.88
-6.0 games
1.35
+6 games

Player analysis

R. Carballes Baena comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.4, meaning R. Carballes Baena has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving R. Carballes Baena vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — R. Carballes Baena has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -22 over recent matches.

DS -0.36Trend mixed

E. Vasa comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.1, meaning E. Vasa has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving E. Vasa vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — E. Vasa has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -13 over recent matches.

DS -2.15Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Baena
Stat
Vasa
61.3%
Win rate
53.3%
460–291
W–L
57–50

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted40%
BP saved40%
Aces2
Double faults3
1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted30%
BP saved60%
Aces6
Double faults4