Odds
Player analysis
H. Baptiste comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -4.2 to 7.0, with at least one match where H. Baptiste was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving H. Baptiste vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — H. Baptiste has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -15 over recent matches.
T. Kostovic has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.0. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving T. Kostovic vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — T. Kostovic has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -16 over recent matches.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 7 Mar | Rybakina | 6-7 6-2 2-6 | L |
| 6 Mar | Arango | 6-2 2-6 3-6 | W |
| 14 Feb | Sramkova | 3-6 5-7 | L |
| 13 Feb | Zhang | 6-4 6-4 | W |
| 6 Feb | Alexandrova | 6-3 6-7 3-6 | L |
3W 2L last 5
| 12 Mar | Erjavec | 6-2 4-6 6-4 | L |
| 10 Mar | Pigato | 4-6 6-4 7-6 | W |
| 3 Mar | Riera | 7-6 4-6 6-3 | L |
| 2 Mar | Pigossi | 6-2 6-3 | W |
| 1 Mar | Karatancheva | 6-1 6-2 | W |

