Odds
Player analysis
H. Baptiste has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -8.0 to 11.8, with at least one match where H. Baptiste was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving H. Baptiste vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +18 over the last five.
K. Siniakova has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.4, meaning K. Siniakova has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving K. Siniakova vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — K. Siniakova has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -11 over recent matches.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 2 Apr | Zarazua | 6-3 3-6 4-6 | L |
| 26 Mar | Sabalenka | 6-4 6-4 | L |
| 23 Mar | Ostapenko | 6-3 6-4 | W |
| 22 Mar | Svitolina | 3-6 5-7 | W |
| 20 Mar | Samsonova | 6-3 7-5 | W |
3W 2L last 5
| 18 Mar | Osorio | 1-6 4-6 | L |
| 9 Mar | Andreeva | 6-4 6-7 3-6 | W |
| 8 Mar | Fernandez | 5-7 6-4 7-6 | W |
| 6 Mar | Kenin | 1-6 6-4 6-1 | W |
| 16 Feb | Badosa | 3-6 5-7 | L |

