Odds
Player analysis
H. Baptiste has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -8.0 to 11.8, with at least one match where H. Baptiste was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving H. Baptiste vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +18 over the last five.
J. Ostapenko has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.4, meaning J. Ostapenko has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving J. Ostapenko vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
4W 1L last 5
| 22 Mar | Svitolina | 3-6 5-7 | W |
| 20 Mar | Samsonova | 6-3 7-5 | W |
| 19 Mar | Maria | 7-5 6-2 | W |
| 7 Mar | Rybakina | 6-7 6-2 2-6 | L |
| 6 Mar | Arango | 6-2 2-6 3-6 | W |
3W 2L last 5
| 22 Mar | Paolini | 5-7 6-2 7-5 | W |
| 20 Mar | Yastremska | 6-4 6-4 | W |
| 9 Mar | Pegula | 4-6 6-3 6-2 | L |
| 7 Mar | Volynets | 4-6 6-7 | W |
| 16 Feb | Kalinskaya | 6-2 1-6 4-6 | L |

