MiamiHard1/8-finals23 Mar 2026 · 20:35
H. Baptiste
#35 · USA
VS
J. Ostapenko
#23 · Latvia
BAPTISTE
1.952
·
OSTAPENKO
1.893

Odds

Market
Baptiste
Ostapenko
Winner
1.952
1.893
Total
line 23.5
2.19
Over 23.5
1.6
Under 23.5
Total
line 21.5
1.73
Over 21.5
2
Under 21.5
Handicap
games
1.43
+3.5 games
2.66
-3.5 games
Handicap
games
1.6
+2.5 games
2.25
-2.5 games

Player analysis

H. Baptiste has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -8.0 to 11.8, with at least one match where H. Baptiste was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving H. Baptiste vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +18 over the last five.

DS 4.68Trend mixed

J. Ostapenko has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.4, meaning J. Ostapenko has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving J. Ostapenko vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -1.45Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Baptiste
Stat
Ostapenko
52.8%
Win rate
57%
102–91
W–L
207–156

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %50%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted60%
BP saved60%
Aces6
Double faults4
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted50%
BP saved50%
Aces4
Double faults4