Odds
Player analysis
N. Mejia comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +1.2 with a downward trend. N. Mejia is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving N. Mejia vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
N. Basilashvili comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.9, meaning N. Basilashvili has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving N. Basilashvili vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — N. Basilashvili has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -12 over recent matches.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 12 Mar | Mochizuki | 2-6 2-6 | L |
| 10 Mar | Fery | 6-3 6-2 | W |
| 9 Mar | Damm | 3-6 4-6 | W |
| 2 Mar | Basilashvili | 6-0 2-6 4-6 | L |
| 23 Feb | Ymer | 6-4 6-4 | L |
2W 3L last 5
| 14 Mar | Moutet | 7-6 6-4 | L |
| 12 Mar | Majchrzak | 7-6 6-3 | W |
| 3 Mar | O'Connell | 6-4 6-4 | L |
| 2 Mar | Mejia | 6-0 2-6 4-6 | W |
| 21 Feb | Shevchenko | 6-7 4-6 | L |

