Odds
Player analysis
R. Bautista-Agut comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.8, meaning R. Bautista-Agut has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving R. Bautista-Agut vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
K. Khachanov comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -8.9 to 14.0, with at least one match where K. Khachanov was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — K. Khachanov has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -17 over recent matches.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 22 Mar | Landaluce | 6-3 7-6 | L |
| 20 Mar | Khachanov | 3-6 3-6 | L |
| 7 Mar | Khachanov | 6-4 6-7 4-6 | W |
| 25 Feb | Brooksby | 7-6 6-4 | L |
| 24 Feb | Shevchenko | 7-6 2-6 3-6 | W |
4W 1L last 5
| 5 Apr | Shevchenko | 7-6 7-6 | L |
| 4 Apr | Bonzi | 4-6 3-6 | W |
| 31 Mar | Bautista-Agut | 1-6 6-1 1-6 | W |
| 20 Mar | Bautista-Agut | 3-6 3-6 | W |
| 19 Mar | Duckworth | 6-7 6-7 | W |
Hard court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami | Hard | ATP 1/32-finals | Khachanov | 3-6 3-6 | |
| ATP Madrid | Clay | 1/32-finals | Khachanov | 6-3 3-6 5-7 | |
| ATP Marseille | Indoor | 1/8-finals | Khachanov | 2-6 2-6 | |
| ATP Madrid | Clay | 1/16-finals | Khachanov | 7-5 4-6 6-3 | |
| Doha | Hard | Semi-finals | Bautista-Agut | 6-2 3-6 5-7 |

