Odds
Player analysis
M. Bellucci shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 81. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -6.8 to 29.3, with at least one match where M. Bellucci was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving M. Bellucci vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
G. Diallo comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.5, meaning G. Diallo has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving G. Diallo vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — G. Diallo has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -37 over recent matches.
Recent form
4W 1L last 5
| 15 Mar | Navone | 5-7 4-6 | L |
| 14 Mar | Walton | 3-6 5-7 | W |
| 13 Mar | Collignon | 6-4 6-2 | W |
| 12 Mar | Hurkacz | 2-6 4-6 | W |
| 11 Mar | Maestrelli | 1-6 1-6 | W |
2W 3L last 5
| 9 Mar | Auger-Aliassime | 7-6 3-6 3-6 | L |
| 7 Mar | Rublev | 7-6 6-7 3-6 | W |
| 4 Mar | Bellucci | 6-7 4-6 | W |
| 17 Feb | Walton | 7-6 6-3 | L |
| 10 Feb | Shelton | 4-6 4-6 | L |

