H. Hurkacz comes into this match in difficult form — 0 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -6.4, meaning H. Hurkacz has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving H. Hurkacz vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

M. Bellucci shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 81. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -6.8 to 29.3, with at least one match where M. Bellucci was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving M. Bellucci vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.