MiamiHardATP Final17 Mar 2026 · 22:15
M. Bellucci
#79 · Italy
VS
M. Cassone
#250 · USA
BELLUCCI
1.31
·
CASSONE
3.57

Odds

Market
Bellucci
Cassone
Winner
1.31
3.57
Total
line 18.0
1.24
Over 18.0
3.34
Under 18.0
Total
line 18.5
1.36
Over 18.5
2.7
Under 18.5
Handicap
games
5.35
-7.0 games
1.11
+7 games
Handicap
games
3.48
-6.5 games
1.25
+6.5 games

Player analysis

M. Bellucci has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.9, meaning M. Bellucci has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving M. Bellucci vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Bellucci has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -17 over recent matches.

DS -5.94Trend mixed

M. Cassone has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -29.4 to 15.2, with at least one match where M. Cassone was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving M. Cassone vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 1.59Trend up

Recent form

Hard court stats

Bellucci
Stat
Cassone
60.2%
Win rate
59%
150–99
W–L
85–59

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted30%
BP saved60%
Aces4
Double faults5
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved70%
Aces5
Double faults2

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

10
Hard 10
M. Bellucci vs M. Cassone head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
Phoenix Challenger MenHardSemi-finalsBellucci3-6 6-3 1-6