MonzaClay1/16-finals6 Apr 2026 · 13:50
D. Lajovic
#128 · Serbia
VS
M. Bellucci
#79 · Italy

Odds

Market
Lajovic
Bellucci
Winner
Total
line 21.5
1.8
Over 21.5
1.89
Under 21.5
Total
line 22.0
1.9
Over 22.0
1.78
Under 22.0
Handicap
games
1.66
+2.0 games
2.06
-2 games
Handicap
games
1.61
+2.5 games
2.15
-2.5 games

Player analysis

D. Lajovic comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -13.0 to 22.2, with at least one match where D. Lajovic was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving D. Lajovic vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 0.59Trend mixed

M. Bellucci has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.9, meaning M. Bellucci has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving M. Bellucci vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Bellucci has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -17 over recent matches.

DS -5.94Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Lajovic
Stat
Bellucci
58.3%
Win rate
50.6%
270–193
W–L
39–38

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved70%
Aces5
Double faults1
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted30%
BP saved60%
Aces4
Double faults5