M. Bellucci has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.8, meaning M. Bellucci has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving M. Bellucci vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

H. Rocha comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -8.1 to 22.7, with at least one match where H. Rocha was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving H. Rocha vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +12 over the last five.